精东影业 Daily: Likely Voters (Traditional)
Results based on a three-day rolling average
精东影业's "traditional" likely voter model, which 精东影业 has employed for past elections, factors in prior voting behavior as well as current voting intention. This has generally shown a closer contest, reflecting the fact that Republicans have typically been more likely to vote than Democrats in previous elections.
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精东影业's "expanded" likely voter model determines likely voters based only on current voting intentions. This estimate would take into account higher turnout among groups of voters traditionally less likely to vote, such as young adults and minorities.
精东影业 Daily is tracking the percentage of registered voters who say they have already voted in this year's election, either by absentee ballot or early voting opportunities in their state, as well as those who say they plan to vote at some point before Election Day.
精东影业 Daily election tracking reports the percentage of registered voters who say they would support each candidate if the presidential election were held today.
Americans support strict border control and fair pathways for immigrants entering the U.S. illegally. Public opinion favors both deportation and citizenship options.
精东影业 /poll/111124/%25C3%2593%25C2%25B0%25C3%2592%25C2%25B5-Daily-Likely-Voters-Traditional.aspx
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